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About Geopolitical Desk

The Geopolitical Desk is an independent media and business intelligence platform that provides actionable analysis on some of the world’s most complex regions.

Our work exists to support diplomats, foreign policy teams, energy analysts, commodity traders, business executives and others who are trying to understand or operate in frontier markets across the Middle East and North Africa.

We are not an open-source data aggregator, an AI newsletter or a home for recycled headlines. All our reporting is built on firsthand access and human intelligence, for an audience of intelligent humans.

Your subscription helps us scale our regional coverage and invest more resources into producing sharp, field-informed analysis that helps you act early and with confidence.

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Dabaiba looking to invoke a Rada response

Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba now likely feels confident enough to fight the Rada Special Deterrence Forces in Tripoli, but wants Rada to make the first move.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 14, 2025
Free
Navigating Gulf markets through the eyes of a veteran investor
Navigating Gulf markets through the eyes of a veteran investor

In this interview, investor and advisor Munder Shuhumi breaks down the opportunities and risks facing foreign investors in the GCC. From Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 to navigating local partnerships and due diligence, Shuhumi shares essential insights on doing business in the Gulf.

GEOPOLITICALLY SPEAKING   -   Jul 11, 2025
Members
CBL fighting to keep the economy solvent

Central Bank of Libya (CBL) Governor Naji Issa is doing what he can to keep Libya’s economy functioning, but he is unable to stop the main issue of the growing budget deficit.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 07, 2025
Members
Arkenu organises energy showcase in Benghazi

[EXCLUSIVE] - The Libyan oil company Arkenu is holding an energy conference in Benghazi that will feature Libyan and international oil firms.

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 04, 2025
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Libya’s oil output falls short of expectations

The Libyan oil sector continues to develop critical infrastructure, but is ultimately hampered by growing budgetary challenges.

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 04, 2025
Free
The new scramble for the Mediterranean
The new scramble for the Mediterranean

With Turkish claims in the eastern Mediterranean expected to be approved by the Libyan House of Representatives, Athens is looking for a response.

NORTH AFRICA DESK   -   Jul 02, 2025
Free
Did Iran's military strike a new status quo or get knocked-out?
Did Iran's military strike a new status quo or get knocked-out?

Despite sustaining major damage in its recent conflict with Israel, Iran played its weak card well and is now seeking to reinforce deterrence and preserve regime survival.

IRAN DESK   -   Jul 01, 2025
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Tripoli remains in suspense as tensions continue

Prime Minister Dabaiba continues to hold the capital in suspense as he slowly tries to gain an advantage over Rada without invoking a reaction

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 01, 2025
Members
Dabaiba looking to invoke a Rada response

Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba now likely feels confident enough to fight the Rada Special Deterrence Forces in Tripoli, but wants Rada to make the first move.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 14, 2025
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Paid
Libya’s oil output falls short of expectations

The Libyan oil sector continues to develop critical infrastructure, but is ultimately hampered by growing budgetary challenges.

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 04, 2025
Paid
Tripoli remains in suspense as tensions continue

Prime Minister Dabaiba continues to hold the capital in suspense as he slowly tries to gain an advantage over Rada without invoking a reaction

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 01, 2025
Paid
Playing a weaker hand? Iran's strategic recalibration for nuclear talks
A collage-style image shows Iranian diplomat Abbas Araqchi superimposed over a United Nations Security Council meeting.

Tehran is weighing diplomacy against strategic ambiguity, seeking to revive nuclear negotiations, rally the Global South and preserve regime survival without surrendering core redlines.

IRAN DESK   -   Jun 30, 2025
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Can regional war be averted as Iran-Israel conflict risks escalation?

Diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis are ongoing, with the United States setting a two-week timeframe. Yet, mistrust and the continued escalation of attacks risk expanding the conflict.

IRAN DESK   -   Jun 20, 2025
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Scenarios shaping the future of the Israel-Iran conflict

Neither Israel nor the U.S. strategic objectives are set in stone and will continue to oscillate between neutering what they perceive as Iranian threats or pursuing regime change. This creates a highly volatile environment.

IRAN DESK   -   Jun 17, 2025
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Israel’s strike on Iran and what comes next
Israel’s strike on Iran and what comes next

Israel’s latest strike on Iran marks a sharp escalation, killing key military commanders and damaging strategic assets. Iran’s response is unfolding in stages, aiming to restore deterrence without triggering full-scale war. This article considers the strategic implications and regional risks ahead.

Jun 13, 2025
Paid
Beyond binary scenarios for Iran-U.S. relations
Beyond binary scenarios for Iran-U.S. relations

Trump's "deal or kneel" rhetoric frames Iran's future as a stark choice: compliance or chaos. Yet, all signs point to protracted negotiations and tactical maneuvers rather than swift resolutions or outright war.

May 13, 2025
Paid
Political tensions, blockades and future scenarios for Libyan oil

August has seen escalating crises in Libya, with a fuel blockade crippling oil production and political tensions rising amidst contested elections. The National Oil Corporation faces pressure as competing factions threaten stability, while UN efforts to mediate remain untested and uncertain.

Sep 12, 2024
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What’s next for Libya after the Central Bank takeover and oil blockade?

Libya faces a precarious future after a Central Bank takeover and an oil blockade, igniting fears of potential conflict and further economic collapse. With key stakeholders divided, this article examines what happened and what's next for Libya.

Aug 31, 2024
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Why the United States is stepping up engagement in a fragile Libya

A U.S. delegation, led by AFRICOM leaders, engaged with key Libyan figures to enhance counterterrorism and military collaboration, aiming to counter Russian influence. As Libya's political landscape shifts, the U.S. seeks strategic partnerships to address complex security challenges.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 24, 2024
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Why clashes look imminent for Libya’s capital

A second week of efforts to reach a peaceful solution to the ongoing tensions in Tripoli has failed. Neither of Libya’s rival groups have attempted serious reconciliation efforts until now, and within the past month, have depleted most mediators capable of helping.

LIBYA DESK   -   May 06, 2024
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Members
Dabaiba looking to invoke a Rada response

Government of National Unity (GNU) Prime Minister Abdulhamid Dabaiba now likely feels confident enough to fight the Rada Special Deterrence Forces in Tripoli, but wants Rada to make the first move.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 14, 2025
Paid
Libya Political Risk Report (July 11)

This report covers political and security updates in Libya for the week of July 4 - July 10, 2025. Clients can download the full report at the end of the summary.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 11, 2025
Free
Navigating Gulf markets through the eyes of a veteran investor
Navigating Gulf markets through the eyes of a veteran investor

In this interview, investor and advisor Munder Shuhumi breaks down the opportunities and risks facing foreign investors in the GCC. From Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 to navigating local partnerships and due diligence, Shuhumi shares essential insights on doing business in the Gulf.

GEOPOLITICALLY SPEAKING   -   Jul 11, 2025
Members
CBL fighting to keep the economy solvent

Central Bank of Libya (CBL) Governor Naji Issa is doing what he can to keep Libya’s economy functioning, but he is unable to stop the main issue of the growing budget deficit.

LIBYA DESK   -   Jul 07, 2025
Members
Arkenu organises energy showcase in Benghazi

[EXCLUSIVE] - The Libyan oil company Arkenu is holding an energy conference in Benghazi that will feature Libyan and international oil firms.

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 04, 2025
Paid
Libya Political Risk Report (July 4)

This report covers political and security updates in Libya for the week of June 27 - July 3, 2025. Clients can download the full report at the end of the summary.

REPORTS   -   Jul 04, 2025
Paid
Libya’s oil output falls short of expectations

The Libyan oil sector continues to develop critical infrastructure, but is ultimately hampered by growing budgetary challenges.

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 04, 2025
Paid
Libya Energy Insights (June 2025)

This report provides analysis and insights into Libya's energy sector for the month of June, 2025

OIL & GAS   -   Jul 02, 2025
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